Trade Expectancy Calculator
Calculate the expected value of each trade based on your win rate, average win, and average loss. A positive expectancy is the foundation of every profitable system.
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Expected Value
Expectancy per Trade$65.00
Reward : Risk2.00 : 1
System EdgePositive — tradeable
FAQ
What does a positive expectancy mean?›
A positive expectancy means that, on average, each trade is expected to make money over a large number of trades. It does not guarantee every trade will be profitable, but the system should be profitable over time.
Can I have a low win rate and still be profitable?›
Absolutely. A system that wins only 30% of the time can be very profitable if the average win is significantly larger than the average loss. Trend-following strategies often have low win rates but high reward-to-risk ratios.